Super Crunchers

How Anything Can Be Predicted

Author: Ian Ayres

Publisher: Hachette UK

ISBN: 0719521033

Category: Mathematics

Page: 260

View: 8856

Companies used to rely on human experts and their years of experience to guide them. Now, cutting-edge organizations are mining the data and crunching numbers instead, to come up with more accurate, less biased predictions. As Freakonomics detailed, statistical analysis can reveal the secret levers of causation. But economist Ian Ayres argues that that's only part of the story - super crunching is revolutionizing the way we all make decisions. Beginning with examples of the mathematician who out-predicted wine buffs in determining the best vintages, and the sports scouts who now use statistics rather than intuition to pick winners, Super Crunchers exposes the world of data-miners, introducing the people and the techniques. It illuminates the hidden patterns all around us. No businessperson, academic, student, or consumer (statistically that's everyone) should make another move without getting to grips with thinking-by-numbers - the new way to be smart, savvy and statistically superior.
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The Wisdom of Yoga

A Seeker's Guide to Extraordinary Living

Author: Stephen Cope

Publisher: Bantam

ISBN: 1984800434

Category: Body, Mind & Spirit

Page: 352

View: 6040

For modern spiritual seekers and yoga students alike, here is an irreverent yet profound guide to the most sophisticated teachings of the yoga wisdom tradition–now brought to contemporary life by a celebrated author, psychotherapist, and leading American yoga instructor. While many Westerners still think of yoga as an invigorating series of postures and breathing exercises, these physical practices are only part of a vast and ancient spiritual science. For more than three millennia, yoga sages systematically explored the essential questions of our human existence: What are the root causes of suffering, and how can we achieve freedom and happiness? What would it be like to function at the maximum potential of our minds, bodies, and spirits? What is an optimal human life? Nowhere have their discoveries been more brilliantly distilled than in a short–but famously difficult–treatise called the Yogasutra. This revered text lays out the entire path of inner development in remarkable detail–ranging from practices that build character and mental power to the highest reaches of spiritual realization. Now Stephen Cope unlocks the teachings of the Yogasutra by showing them at work in the lives of a group of friends and fellow yoga students who are confronting the full modern catastrophe of careers, relationships, and dysfunctional family dynamics. Interweaving their daily dilemmas with insights from modern psychology, neuroscience, religion, and philosophy, he shows the astonishing relevance and practicality of this timeless psychology of awakening. Leavened with wit and passion, The Wisdom of Yoga is a superb companion and guide for anyone seeking enhanced creativity, better relationships, and a more ethical and graceful way of living in the world.
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Summary: Super Crunchers

Review and Analysis of Ayres' Book

Author: BusinessNews Publishing

Publisher: Primento

ISBN: 251101646X

Category: Computers

Page: 15

View: 4207

The must-read summary of Ian Ayres' book: "Super Crunchers: Why Thinking-By-Numbers Is the New Way to Be Smart". This complete summary of the ideas from Ian Ayres' book "Super Crunchers" shows that the number crunchers are starting to consistently outperform the experts. Those who rely on their intuition to make good decisions are now starting to get left behind by a new breed of number crunchers – called “Super Crunchers” – who mine huge databases to reveal underlying relationships. In his book, the author explains the benefits of becoming a super cruncher and having all the answers. This summary demonstrates how you can become one and the benefits this will bring for your company and career. Added-value of this summary: • Save time • Understand key concepts • Expand your knowledge To learn more, read "Super Crunchers" and become a decision-maker with a better way of doing things.
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Smart Data

Datenstrategien, die Kunden wirklich wollen und Unternehmen wirklich nützen

Author: Björn Bloching,Lars Luck,Thomas Ramge

Publisher: Redline Wirtschaft

ISBN: 3864147204

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 256

View: 4929

Weniger ist mehr! Der Hype um Big Data flacht langsam ab. Bei vielen Anwendern in den Unternehmen macht sich zurzeit Ernüchterung und Enttäuschung breit – aus den riesigen Datenmengen wirklich nützliche Erkenntnisse zu ziehen, ist viel mühsamer, als Technologen und IT-Anbieter gerne behaupten. Natürlich müssen Unternehmen heute ihre digitale Kompetenz erhöhen. Die entscheidende Frage lautet jedoch: Wie nutzen Unternehmen Daten wirklich effizient, ohne sich selbst technisch, personell und finanziell zu überfordern? Smart Data steht dabei für eine sich schrittweise vortastende Vorgehensweise. Der gesunde Menschenverstand ist dabei ein ebenso wichtiger Rohstoff wie die Daten selbst. Ziel ist es, in allen Anwendungsfeldern die Kunden besser zu verstehen, um sie zu binden, sowie damit ihren Kundenwert langfristig zu erhöhen. Dabei muss die Privatsphäre des Kunden natürlich beachtet und angemessen geschützt werden. Dieses Buch zeigt systematisch und mit vielen praktischen Anwendungsfällen, wie das geht. Und was sich bei Führung und Unternehmensstruktur ändern muss, damit ein Unternehmen zum Smart-Data-Champion werden kann.
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big data @ work

Chancen erkennen, Risiken verstehen

Author: Thomas H. Davenport

Publisher: Vahlen

ISBN: 3800648156

Category: Fiction

Page: 214

View: 4152

Big Data in Unternehmen. Dieses neue Buch gibt Managern ein umfassendes Verständnis dafür, welche Bedeutung Big Data für Unternehmen zukünftig haben wird und wie Big Data tatsächlich genutzt werden kann. Am Ende jedes Kapitels aktivieren Fragen, selbst nach Lösungen für eine erfolgreiche Implementierung und Nutzung von Big Data im eigenen Unternehmen zu suchen. Die Schwerpunkte - Warum Big Data für Sie und Ihr Unternehmen wichtig ist - Wie Big Data Ihre Arbeit, Ihr Unternehmen und Ihre Branche verändern - - wird - Entwicklung einer Big Data-Strategie - Der menschliche Aspekt von Big Data - Technologien für Big Data - Wie Sie erfolgreich mit Big Data arbeiten - Was Sie von Start-ups und Online-Unternehmen lernen können - Was Sie von großen Unternehmen lernen können: Big Data und Analytics 3.0 Der Experte Thomas H. Davenport ist Professor für Informationstechnologie und -management am Babson College und Forschungswissenschaftler am MIT Center for Digital Business. Zudem ist er Mitbegründer und Forschungsdirektor am International Institute for Analytics und Senior Berater von Deloitte Analytics.
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The Essential Manager

How to Thrive in the Global Information Jungle

Author: James W. Cortada

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 1119004934

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 262

View: 7932

This book discusses the evolution of management as a professionover the past two decades and how it continues to evolve. It goeson to describe the new style of management and makesrecommendations for what today’s and tomorrow’smanagers must know and how to work. Offers ways to think about your role as a manager in order tooptimize your effectiveness toward uncertain and turbulentchanges Discusses current realities in which management currentlyoperates Provides a historical background of managerial practices andhow they’ve evolved in the present workplace
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Hidden Figures - Unerkannte Heldinnen

Author: Margot Lee Shetterly

Publisher: HarperCollins

ISBN: 3959676433

Category: History

Page: 416

View: 5802

1943 stellt das Langley Memorial Aeronautical Laboratory der NACA,die später zur NASA wird, erstmalig afroamerikanische Frauen ein. "Menschliche Rechner" - unter ihnen Dorothy Vaughan, die 1953 Vorgesetzte der brillanten afroamerikanischen Mathematikerin Katherine Johnson wird. Trotz Diskriminierung und Vorurteilen, treiben sie die Forschungen der NASA voran und Katherine Johnsons Berechnungen werden maßgeblich für den Erfolg der Apollo-Missionen. Dies ist ihre Geschichte. "Mit dieser unglaublich mitreißenden und vielschichtigen Erzählung zeigt Shetterly ihr Können. Die Geschichte begeistert in allen Aspekten." Booklist
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The Routledge Handbook of Chinese Criminology

Author: Liqun Cao,Ivan Y. Sun,Bill Hebenton

Publisher: Routledge

ISBN: 1135021465

Category: Social Science

Page: 356

View: 5029

As the world’s second largest economy, China has made great progress in developing criminology. The Routledge Handbook of Chinese Criminology aims to be a key reference point to summarize the large body of literature in both Chinese and English about various aspects of crime and its control in China for international scholars with an interest in the development of criminological research on and in the Greater China region, and for everyone with a broad interest in international criminology. The editors of the handbook have selected authoritative contributors recognized for their research and scholarship on China, Hong Kong Macao, and Taiwan. This handbook consists of five sections: An account of the development of criminology as an academic discipline in modern China, as well as some of the unique theories, strategies, or philosophies of crime control that have emerged, An analysis of the criminal justice system in China, including the police, the courts, corrections, juvenile justice and the death penalty, An exploration of the issues and problems in conducting research in China, Reflections on the nature of crime and criminality in China, including drugs, prostitution, human trafficking, corruption, floating population, domestic violence, and white-collar crime, An account of crime and criminal justice in Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Macao. The book presents a coherent and comprehensive collection of essays on current research and theory in criminology, crime and justice in China and Greater China, and the Editors’ Introduction and Conclusion provide further contextualisation of the Handbook’s key themes.
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Left Brain, Right Stuff

How Leaders Make Winning Decisions

Author: Phil Rosenzweig

Publisher: Profile Books

ISBN: 184765973X

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 435

View: 9469

Dozens of books have been published recently on the errors and biases that affect our judgments and choices. Drawing on cognitive science, their lessons are excellent for many kinds of decisions - consumer choice and financial investments, for example - but stop short of addressing many of the most important decisions we face in management, where we can actively influence outcomes and where competitive forces mean we have to outperform rivals. As Phil Rosenzweig shows, drawing on examples from business, sports and politics, this sort of decision-making relies on mastering two very different abilities. First, the analytical problem-solving skills associated with the brain's left hemisphere; and second, what Tom Wolfe called 'the Right Stuff': the ability to take calculated risks. Bringing fresh and often surprising insights to topics including confidence and overconfidence, the uses and limits of decision models, leadership and authenticity, expert performance and deliberate practice, competitive bidding and new venture management, Left Brain, Right Stuff, the myth-busting follow-up to The Halo Effect, explains how to perform when making even the most difficult decisions.
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Crashed

Wie zehn Jahre Finanzkrise die Welt verändert haben

Author: Adam Tooze

Publisher: Siedler Verlag

ISBN: 3641192773

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 800

View: 4091

Zehn Jahre danach: Der Finanzcrash und seine dramatischen Folgen Als die US-Großbank Lehman Brothers im September 2008 zusammenbrach, war dies der Tiefpunkt der Banken- und Finanzkrise. Und obwohl der totale Kollaps der Weltwirtschaft damals verhindert wurde, ist die Finanzkrise noch lange nicht Geschichte, wie der britische Historiker Adam Tooze zeigt. Er schildert, wie es zu dieser Krise der Finanzmärkte kam und welche dramatischen Folgen sie bis heute hat. Denn nicht nur ist durch die Finanzkrise die Stabilität Europas ins Wanken geraten, sie hat auch das Vertrauen in die Kraft der globalen Wirtschaftsordnung erschüttert – und so zum Aufstieg der Populisten beigetragen.
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Quantitative Value

A Practitioner's Guide to Automating Intelligent Investment and Eliminating Behavioral Errors

Author: Wesley R. Gray,Tobias E. Carlisle

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 1118416554

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 288

View: 7983

A must-read book on the quantitative value investmentstrategy Warren Buffett and Ed Thorp represent two spectrums ofinvesting: one value driven, one quantitative. Where they align isin their belief that the market is beatable. This book seeks totake the best aspects of value investing and quantitative investingas disciplines and apply them to a completely unique approach tostock selection. Such an approach has several advantages over purevalue or pure quantitative investing. This new investing strategyframed by the book is known as quantitative value, a superior,market-beating method to investing in stocks. Quantitative Value provides practical insights into aninvestment strategy that links the fundamental value investingphilosophy of Warren Buffett with the quantitative value approachof Ed Thorp. It skillfully combines the best of Buffett and EdThorp—weaving their investment philosophies into a winning,market-beating investment strategy. First book to outline quantitative value strategies as they arepracticed by actual market practitioners of the discipline Melds the probabilities and statistics used by quants such asEd Thorp with the fundamental approaches to value investing aspracticed by Warren Buffett and other leading value investors A companion Website contains supplementary material that allowsyou to learn in a hands-on fashion long after closing the book If you're looking to make the most of your time in today'smarkets, look no further than Quantitative Value.
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Numbers Rule Your World: The Hidden Influence of Probabilities and Statistics on Everything You Do

Author: Kaiser Fung

Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional

ISBN: 0071745416

Category: Mathematics

Page: 224

View: 9799

WHAT ARE THE ODDS YOU'LL WIN THE LOTTERY? How long will your kids wait in line at Disney World? Who decides that “standardized tests” are fair? Why do highway engineers build slow-moving ramps? What does it mean, statistically, to be an “Average Joe”? NUMBERS RULE YOUR WORLD In the popular tradition of eye-opening bestsellers like Freakonomics, The Tipping Point, and Super Crunchers, this fascinating book from renowned statistician and blogger Kaiser Fung takes you inside the hidden world of facts and figures that affect you every day, in every way. These are the statistics that rule your life, your job, your commute, your vacation, your food, your health, your money, and your success. This is how engineers calculate your quality of living, how corporations determine your needs, and how politicians estimate your opinions. These are the numbers you never think about-even though they play a crucial role in every single aspect of your life. What you learn may surprise you, amuse you, or even enrage you. But there's one thing you won't be able to deny: Numbers Rule Your World... "An easy read with a big benefit." —Fareed Zakaria, CNN "For those who have anxiety about how organization data-mining is impacting their world, Kaiser Fung pulls back the curtain to reveal the good and the bad of predictive analytics." —Ian Ayres,Yale professor and author of Super Crunchers: Why Thinking By Numbers is the New Way to Be Smart "A book that engages us with stories that a journalist would write, the compelling stories behind the stories as illuminated by the numbers, and the dynamics that the numbers reveal." —John Sall, Executive Vice President, SAS Institute "Little did I suspect, when I picked up Kaiser Fung's book, that I would become so entranced by it - an illuminating and accessible exploration of the power of statistical analysis for those of us who have no prior training in a field that he explores so ably." —Peter Clarke, author of Keynes: The Rise, Fall, and Return of the 20th Century's Most Influential Economist "A tremendous book. . . . If you want to understand how to use statistics, how to think with numbers and yet to do this without getting lost in equations, if you've been looking for the book to unlock the door to logical thinking about problems, well, you will be pleased to know that you are holding that book in your hands." —Daniel Finkelstein, Executive Editor, The Times of London "I thoroughly enjoyed this accessible book and enthusiastically recommend it to anyone looking to understand and appreciate the role of statistics and data analysis in solving problems and in creating a better world." —Michael Sherman, Texas A&M University, American Statistician
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Applied Predictive Modeling

Author: Max Kuhn,Kjell Johnson

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

ISBN: 1461468493

Category: Medical

Page: 600

View: 4252

Applied Predictive Modeling covers the overall predictive modeling process, beginning with the crucial steps of data preprocessing, data splitting and foundations of model tuning. The text then provides intuitive explanations of numerous common and modern regression and classification techniques, always with an emphasis on illustrating and solving real data problems. The text illustrates all parts of the modeling process through many hands-on, real-life examples, and every chapter contains extensive R code for each step of the process. This multi-purpose text can be used as an introduction to predictive models and the overall modeling process, a practitioner’s reference handbook, or as a text for advanced undergraduate or graduate level predictive modeling courses. To that end, each chapter contains problem sets to help solidify the covered concepts and uses data available in the book’s R package. This text is intended for a broad audience as both an introduction to predictive models as well as a guide to applying them. Non-mathematical readers will appreciate the intuitive explanations of the techniques while an emphasis on problem-solving with real data across a wide variety of applications will aid practitioners who wish to extend their expertise. Readers should have knowledge of basic statistical ideas, such as correlation and linear regression analysis. While the text is biased against complex equations, a mathematical background is needed for advanced topics.
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Trillion Dollar Economists

How Economists and Their Ideas have Transformed Business

Author: Robert Litan

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 111878183X

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 400

View: 3482

A detailed look at how economists shaped the world, and how thelegacy continues Trillion Dollar Economists explores the prize-winningideas that have shaped business decisions, business models, andgovernment policies, expanding the popular idea of the economist'srole from one of forecaster to one of innovator. Written by theformer Director of Economic Research at Bloomberg Government, theKauffman Foundation and the Brookings Institution, this bookdescribes the ways in which economists have helped shape the world– in some cases, dramatically enough to be recognized with aNobel Prize or Clark Medal. Detailed discussion of how economiststhink about the world and the pace of future innovation leads to anexamination of the role, importance, and limits of the market, andeconomists' contributions to business and policy in the past,present, and future. Few economists actually forecast the economy's performance.Instead, the bulk of the profession is concerned with how marketswork, and how they can be made more efficient and productive togenerate the things people want to buy for a better life. Full ofinterviews with leading economists and industry leaders,Trillion Dollar Economists showcases the innovations thathave built modern business and policy. Readers will: Review the basics of economics and the innovation ofeconomists, including market failures and the macro-microdistinction Discover the true power of economic ideas when used directly inbusiness, as exemplified by Priceline and Google Learn how economists contributed to policy platforms intransportation, energy, telecommunication, and more Explore the future of economics in business applications, andthe policy ideas, challenges, and implications Economists have helped firms launch new businesses, establishednew ways of making money, and shaped government policy to createnew opportunities and a new landscape on which businesses compete.Trillion Dollar Economists provides a comprehensiveexploration of these contributions, and a detailed look atinnovation to come.
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Zahlenwerk

Kalkulation, Organisation und Gesellschaft

Author: Andrea Mennicken,Hendrik Vollmer

Publisher: Springer-Verlag

ISBN: 3531904493

Category: Social Science

Page: 270

View: 9261

Inwiefern die massenhafte Mobilisierung von Zahlen und Rechenpraktiken die Aufrechterhaltung sozialer Ordnung ermöglicht oder in Mitleidenschaft zieht, hat in den Sozialwissenschaften bislang wenig systematische Beachtung gefunden. Auch die Diskussion über organisiertes Rechnen, die im englischsprachigen Raum unter dem Oberbegriff des "Accounting" geführt wird, ist weitgehend auf Spezialistenkreise beschränkt geblieben. Mit Beiträgen zum Umgang mit Zahlen in Organisationen, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft dokumentiert der Band "Zahlenwerke" eine nun allmählich erwachende sozialwissenschaftliche Aufmerksamkeit und zeigt dabei neben interdisziplinären Berührungspunkten zwischen Soziologie und Betriebswirtschaftslehre auch solche zwischen organisations- und gesellschaftstheoretischen sowie kulturwissenschaftlichen Ansätzen auf.
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Making Sense of Numbers that Rule Your World EBOOK BUNDLE

Author: Kaiser Fung

Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional

ISBN: 0071832785

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 224

View: 9942

WHAT ARE THE ODDS YOU'LL WIN THE LOTTERY? How long will your kids wait in line at Disney World? Who decides that “standardized tests” are fair? Why do highway engineers build slow-moving ramps? What does it mean, statistically, to be an “Average Joe”? NUMBERS RULE YOUR WORLD In the popular tradition of eye-opening bestsellers like Freakonomics, The Tipping Point, and Super Crunchers, this fascinating book from renowned statistician and blogger Kaiser Fung takes you inside the hidden world of facts and figures that affect you every day, in every way. These are the statistics that rule your life, your job, your commute, your vacation, your food, your health, your money, and your success. This is how engineers calculate your quality of living, how corporations determine your needs, and how politicians estimate your opinions. These are the numbers you never think about-even though they play a crucial role in every single aspect of your life. What you learn may surprise you, amuse you, or even enrage you. But there's one thing you won't be able to deny: Numbers Rule Your World... "For those who have anxiety about how organization data-mining is impacting their world, Kaiser Fung pulls back the curtain to reveal the good and the bad of predictive analytics." --Ian Ayres,Yale professor and author of Super Crunchers: Why Thinking By Numbers is the New Way to Be Smart "A book that engages us with stories that a journalist would write, the compelling stories behind the stories as illuminated by the numbers, and the dynamics that the numbers reveal." --John Sall, Executive Vice President, SAS Institute
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